Multi-outcome · 22 open · 9 closed hidden
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $92.6k
15.3%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $52.5k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $432.1k
5.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $976.5k
4.5%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.3k
3.6%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.4k
3.2%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.6%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.4k
1.3%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.35M
0.7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.5%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.49M
0.5%
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