Multi-outcome · 20 open
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $285.3k
8.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $776.5k
6.3%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.04M
4.9%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.7k
3.0%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $780.8k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.27M
2.4%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $897.8k
2.3%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $849.3k
1.5%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.0k
1.4%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.45M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $617.1k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.26M
1.0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.7%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $865.2k
0.6%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.24M
0.5%
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