0xb9212b9cb5404a1db7aa30477619222b4100802f03f32a6fc5639c6e24fe0e1f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $645.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $645.8k · whales 24h net $2 (5 wallets) · 7d net $878 · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.3%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$645.8k
CLOB
Traders
1,279
15,683 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2
Buy
$147
Sell
$145
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$878
Buy
$1.7k
Sell
$821
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | $8.3k | $7.7k | $652 | $-7.0k |
| 0x65a7…868f | $2.4k | $914 | $1.5k | $572 |
| 0x0bee…4095 | $2.0k | $1.3k | $662 | $-653 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | $1.3k | $644 | $691 | $47 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 214 | $271.6k | $-270.8k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $93.9k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $55.3k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $432.2k
5.2%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.3k
4.3%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $976.5k
3.9%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.6%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.4k
1.3%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.38M
0.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
| 0x97b4…d794 | $1.3k | $14 | $1.3k | $1.3k |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $904 | $10 | $894 | $884 |
| 0x5cd5…ac33 | $799 | $789 | $10 | $-780 |
| 0xe8a0…3aea | $768 | $592 | $176 | $-416 |
| 0xb6a2…4b66 | $767 | $767 | $0 | $-767 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $680 | $680 | $0 | $-680 |
| 0xff4b…d019 | $617 | $8 | $609 | $601 |
| 0x7b0f…145c | $553 | $553 | $0 | $-553 |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 139 | $133.0k | $-94.0k | 5 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 211 | $126.5k | $-125.3k | 9 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
