0xec2e51ebb99006172b05548fc53d6842d30c9c0cccaf4c34569f0431b94d4bfc
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $902.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.2% · CLOB volume $902.7k · whales 24h net $16.2k (18 wallets) · 7d net $24.1k · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.2%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$902.7k
CLOB
Traders
2,729
17,981 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.5% → 1.6% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$16.2k
Buy
$27.6k
Sell
$11.4k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$24.1k
Buy
$48.8k
Sell
$24.7k
Whales
49
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xda4a…2184 | $28.9k | $436 | $28.5k | $28.1k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $24.7k | $24.7k | $20 | $-24.6k |
| 0x9b55…1167 | $12.8k | $12.5k | $301 | $-12.2k |
| 0xe749…f771 | $10.1k | $9.7k | $420 | $-9.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 214 | $271.6k | $-270.8k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $93.9k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $55.3k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $432.2k
5.2%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.3k
4.3%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $976.5k
3.9%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.6%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.4k
1.3%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.38M
0.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
| 0x187f…5fee | $7.2k | $7.2k | $0 | $-7.2k |
| 0xd6b6…342b | $5.8k | $5.8k | $32 | $-5.7k |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $5.3k | $81 | $5.2k | $5.1k |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | $3.5k | $3.5k | $45 | $-3.4k |
| 0xc094…c8d4 | $2.9k | $1.7k | $1.2k | $-506 |
| 0x836f…906e | $2.5k | $2.3k | $164 | $-2.2k |
| 0x5c29…358e | $2.4k | $127 | $2.3k | $2.2k |
| 0x8aac…0e7a | $2.4k | $1.7k | $634 | $-1.1k |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 139 | $133.0k | $-94.0k | 5 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 211 | $126.5k | $-125.3k | 9 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
