0x09a5349f54b0b9de163a527856ddb519d6e93e80ae02e72e408dae27ff6824e1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $9.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.9% · CLOB volume $9.5k · whales 24h net $591 (10 wallets) · 7d net $2.2k · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.9%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$9.5k
CLOB
Traders
65
142 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.9% → 2.6% (-0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$591
Buy
$613
Sell
$23
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.2k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$1.2k
Whales
34
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbe7c…8356 | $3.6k | $1.3k | $2.3k | $1.0k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $3.6k | $3.6k | $16 | $-3.6k |
| 0xe15a…9854 | $852 | $48 | $804 | $756 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $826 | $824 | $2 | $-822 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 217 | $272.0k | $-271.2k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $94.1k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $62.3k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $441.2k
4.9%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $977.0k
3.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.4k
2.9%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.5%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.9k
0.9%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.49M
0.5%
| 0x4d01…1645 | $683 | $615 | $68 | $-548 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $625 | $625 | $0 | $-625 |
| 0x0b57…5975 | $502 | $2 | $500 | $498 |
| 0x2165…f598 | $501 | $500 | $1 | $-499 |
| 0x9f20…12c3 | $311 | $310 | $1 | $-309 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $243 | $243 | $0 | $-243 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $212 | $212 | $0 | $-212 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $190 | $14 | $177 | $163 |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 216 | $138.5k | $-137.4k | 9 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 140 | $133.3k | $-94.2k | 5 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
