0x0cfec4bdb5b2060bba705259a76c489a9b0cc36da5edad65ecd796f461a89af5
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $863.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.7% · CLOB volume $863.1k · whales 24h net $4 (3 wallets) · 7d net $1.1k · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.7%
Yes
Implied No
99.3%
No
Volume
$863.1k
CLOB
Traders
1,350
20,933 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4
Buy
$8
Sell
$4
Whales
3
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$3.9k
Sell
$2.8k
Whales
27
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb886…81b3 | $4.9k | $565 | $4.4k | $3.8k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4 | $2.7k | $27 | $2.6k | $2.6k |
| 0xd6b6…342b | $1.3k | $1.2k | $153 | $-1.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 217 | $272.0k | $-271.2k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $94.1k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $62.3k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $441.2k
4.9%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $977.0k
3.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.4k
2.9%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.5%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.9k
0.9%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.49M
0.5%
| 0x1f0a…f7aa | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $969 | $969 | $0 | $-969 |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $682 | $682 | $0 | $-682 |
| 0x6334…227f | $663 | $573 | $90 | $-482 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $550 | $3 | $548 | $545 |
| 0xe8a0…3aea | $461 | $273 | $188 | $-85 |
| 0x4cf2…e31c | $399 | $201 | $199 | $-2 |
| 0x0978…00e6 | $351 | $250 | $101 | $-149 |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 216 | $138.5k | $-137.4k | 9 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 140 | $133.3k | $-94.2k | 5 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
