0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $441.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.9% · CLOB volume $441.2k · whales 24h net $18.4k (26 wallets) · 7d net $63.5k · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.9%
Yes
Implied No
95.1%
No
Volume
$441.2k
CLOB
Traders
1,434
9,968 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
5.1% → 5.0% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$18.4k
Buy
$26.0k
Sell
$7.7k
Whales
26
Last 7 days
Net flow
$63.5k
Buy
$108.4k
Sell
$44.9k
Whales
102
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9648…6825 | $40.4k | $40.1k | $302 | $-39.8k |
| 0xb100…6461 | $31.2k | $29.7k | $1.5k | $-28.2k |
| 0xdef6…f69a | $21.1k | $2.6k | $18.6k | $16.0k |
| 0x187f…5fee | $20.0k | $19.2k | $756 | $-18.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 217 | $272.0k | $-271.2k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $94.1k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $62.3k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $441.2k
4.9%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $977.0k
3.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.4k
2.9%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.5%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.9k
0.9%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.49M
0.5%
| 0x358c…84a6 | $13.3k | $1.1k | $12.2k | $11.1k |
| 0xe95e…61f2 | $9.8k | $9.3k | $490 | $-8.8k |
| 0xe234…304a | $9.4k | $469 | $8.9k | $8.4k |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | $6.6k | $6.3k | $252 | $-6.1k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $5.9k | $3.9k | $2.0k | $-1.9k |
| 0x4b79…47e6 | $5.6k | $310 | $5.3k | $5.0k |
| 0x21ff…5e2a | $4.4k | $537 | $3.8k | $3.3k |
| 0xe821…b27e | $3.2k | $1.7k | $1.5k | $-241 |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 216 | $138.5k | $-137.4k | 9 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 140 | $133.3k | $-94.2k | 5 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
