0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.5% · CLOB volume $285.3k · whales 24h net $82 (5 wallets) · 7d net $6.4k · 20/20 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.5%
Yes
Implied No
91.5%
No
Volume
$285.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,120
8,572 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
8.0% → 8.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$82
Buy
$96
Sell
$14
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.4k
Buy
$7.2k
Sell
$816
Whales
36
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x000c…bcf3 | $31.9k | $10.8k | $21.1k | $10.3k |
| 0x7b0b…c3df | $25.6k | $13.0k | $12.7k | $-274 |
| 0xb886…81b3 | $9.9k | $9.9k | $0 | $-9.9k |
| 0x786a…94a7 | $7.7k | $7.7k | $1 | $-7.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6161…8ad9 | 17,657 | $406.8k | $-387.7k | 12 |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | 983 | $226.5k | $19.4k | 5 |
| 0x7b0b…c3df | 862 | $192.1k | $-92.6k | 20 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 7,697 | $123.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
20 open · 20 total · Event board
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $285.3k
8.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $776.6k
6.2%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.04M
4.7%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.7k
3.0%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $780.8k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.27M
2.4%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $897.8k
2.3%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $849.3k
1.5%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.0k
1.4%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.45M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $617.1k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.26M
1.0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.7%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $865.2k
0.6%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.24M
0.5%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.16M
0.4%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.05M
0.4%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.16M
0.3%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $896.2k
0.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.9k
0.1%
| 0xe821…b27e | $5.1k | $4.1k | $921 | $-3.2k |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $4.4k | $3.3k | $1.1k | $-2.2k |
| 0xbad2…5296 | $4.3k | $4.3k | $28 | $-4.2k |
| 0xda3f…c282 | $3.3k | $1.8k | $1.4k | $-410 |
| 0x4d01…1645 | $3.0k | $3.0k | $0 | $-3.0k |
| 0x751b…5d1b | $3.0k | $1.4k | $1.5k | $103 |
| 0xd600…b66e | $2.9k | $2.9k | $0 | $-2.9k |
| 0x1f0a…f7aa | $2.8k | $1.9k | $914 | $-1.0k |
| $-105.2k |
| 17 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | 907 | $106.4k | $-2.1k | 12 |
| 0xc451…2609 | 17 | $76.6k | $-2.7k | 1 |
| 0x7449…c05e | 1,874 | $68.0k | $-22.0k | 11 |
| 0x8998…32be | 134 | $67.4k | $-4.6k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 97 | $64.7k | $-64.2k | 2 |
| 0xd8d5…8935 | 66 | $60.7k | $-46.2k | 2 |
