0xb3fefe9667acca5ca31a8e330219dc67a01b374331d9bf4875357655a5508815
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.7% · CLOB volume $2.04M · whales 24h net $585 (11 wallets) · 7d net $3.4k · 20/20 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.7%
Yes
Implied No
95.3%
No
Volume
$2.04M
CLOB
Traders
3,654
75,770 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.5% → 4.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$585
Buy
$604
Sell
$19
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.4k
Buy
$5.0k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
53
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.6k | $3.6k | $0 | $-3.6k |
| 0x5f86…a769 | $2.9k | $1.2k | $1.6k | $391 |
| 0xcf5f…9e5f | $2.8k | $1.4k | $1.4k | $9 |
| 0x58e1…68ed | $2.4k | $1.1k | $1.3k | $196 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6161…8ad9 | 17,657 | $406.8k | $-387.7k | 12 |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | 983 | $226.5k | $19.4k | 5 |
| 0x7b0b…c3df | 862 | $192.1k | $-92.6k | 20 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 7,697 | $123.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
20 open · 20 total · Event board
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $285.3k
8.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $776.6k
6.2%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.04M
4.7%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.7k
3.0%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $780.8k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.27M
2.4%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $897.8k
2.3%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $849.3k
1.5%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.0k
1.4%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.45M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $617.1k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.26M
1.0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.7%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $865.2k
0.6%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.24M
0.5%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.16M
0.4%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.05M
0.4%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.16M
0.3%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $896.2k
0.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.9k
0.1%
| 0x449c…879e | $2.1k | $1.9k | $187 | $-1.7k |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $1.9k | $1.9k | $1 | $-1.9k |
| 0x510f…a43c | $1.8k | $1.8k | $0 | $-1.8k |
| 0x1f0a…f7aa | $1.7k | $1.7k | $0 | $-1.7k |
| 0x9a2b…4aea | $1.7k | $878 | $820 | $-58 |
| 0xa917…85c1 | $1.7k | $878 | $820 | $-58 |
| 0x7b0b…c3df | $1.7k | $1.0k | $675 | $-325 |
| 0x14a4…5fe1 | $1.7k | $866 | $807 | $-59 |
| $-105.2k |
| 17 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | 907 | $106.4k | $-2.1k | 12 |
| 0xc451…2609 | 17 | $76.6k | $-2.7k | 1 |
| 0x7449…c05e | 1,874 | $68.0k | $-22.0k | 11 |
| 0x8998…32be | 134 | $67.4k | $-4.6k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 97 | $64.7k | $-64.2k | 2 |
| 0xd8d5…8935 | 66 | $60.7k | $-46.2k | 2 |
