0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $6.38M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $6.38M · whales 24h net $152.0k (71 wallets) · 7d net $491.0k · 22/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$6.38M
CLOB
Traders
3,522
30,693 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.5% → 0.6% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$152.0k
Buy
$322.3k
Sell
$170.3k
Whales
71
Last 7 days
Net flow
$491.0k
Buy
$1.34M
Sell
$851.3k
Whales
206
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $1.00M | $20.9k | $983.9k | $962.9k |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | $223.4k | $223.4k | $0 | $-223.4k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $221.6k | $221.3k | $322 | $-221.0k |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | $216.9k | $117.6k | $99.2k | $-18.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 2,791 | $1.00M | $962.9k | 1 |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 369 | $351.5k | $-333.4k | 16 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 214 | $271.6k | $-270.8k | 5 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 148 | $223.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $93.3k
15.4%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $53.2k
7.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $432.1k
5.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $976.5k
3.9%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $33.3k
3.6%
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $9.5k
2.9%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.07M
2.6%
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.6k
2.5%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $18.6k
1.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $8.4k
1.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $645.8k
1.3%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $12.4k
1.3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $902.7k
1.2%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.2k
1.1%
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $7.8k
0.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $35.7k
0.9%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $808.3k
0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.38M
0.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $880.5k
0.5%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $863.1k
0.5%
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $145.9k | $138.9k | $6.9k | $-132.0k |
| 0x368b…2458 | $138.1k | $138.1k | $0 | $-138.1k |
| 0x000d…758e | $105.3k | $79.2k | $26.1k | $-53.0k |
| 0x8476…5418 | $89.4k | $61.4k | $28.0k | $-33.4k |
| 0x9351…9e4d | $84.4k | $49.0k | $35.4k | $-13.6k |
| 0xb100…6461 | $83.7k | $68.3k | $15.4k | $-52.9k |
| 0x4337…8882 | $82.8k | $82.8k | $0 | $-82.8k |
| 0x47ab…95df | $72.0k | $64.7k | $7.2k | $-57.5k |
| $-223.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xad89…f6e1 | 42 | $216.9k | $-18.4k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 263 | $145.9k | $-132.0k | 1 |
| 0x368b…2458 | 51 | $138.1k | $-138.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 139 | $133.0k | $-94.0k | 5 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 209 | $126.4k | $-125.3k | 9 |
| 0x000d…758e | 5 | $105.3k | $-53.0k | 1 |
