Multi-outcome · 7 open · 3 closed hidden
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $86.8k
90.5%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $11.8k
67.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $204.6k
50.5%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $226.3k
14.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $184.8k
10.5%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.51M
6.8%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $349.4k
4.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x7bd9…bd757 mkts · $22.9k
- 0xb1df…309d3 mkts · $14.0k
- 0x7e35…1a6c3 mkts · $7.4k
- 0xe8a6…644b6 mkts · $6.8k
- 0xbd14…76b44 mkts · $6.2k
- 0x3f3b…1d772 mkts · $5.4k
- 0xc3fc…484a7 mkts · $4.6k
- 0x94d9…bc472 mkts · $4.2k
- 0x6b0e…e3ea7 mkts · $4.0k
- 0xde28…21152 mkts · $3.5k
- 0x8931…a90c3 mkts · $3.3k
- 0x6139…6b7a5 mkts · $3.2k
- 0x44c1…ebc13 mkts · $3.1k
- 0xf8eb…84732 mkts · $2.6k
- 0xc602…7fc16 mkts · $2.5k