0xfa3dc3876b9210267914d74d4686a2c71bec3bf37bc1dc059a70f3e3e41ca1a7
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $207.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 16.0% · CLOB volume $207.9k · whales 24h net $302 (13 wallets) · 7d net $5.7k · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
16.0%
Yes
Implied No
84.0%
No
Volume
$207.9k
CLOB
Traders
413
2,527 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
18.0% → 17.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$302
Buy
$1.2k
Sell
$905
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$12.5k
Sell
$6.8k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | $7.5k | $3.8k | $3.7k | $-83 |
| 0x1aac…66fb | $5.3k | $913 | $4.4k | $3.5k |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $3.1k | $2.2k | $905 | $-1.3k |
| 0xd031…46b1 | $2.7k | $2.1k | $664 | $-1.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 8 | $37.9k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $32.4k | $-3.7k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 8 | $30.3k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 5 | $26.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $247.2k
98.5%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.9k
97.8%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $334.8k
89.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $207.9k
16.0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.5%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $358.7k
6.9%
| 0x49b1…c280 | $2.6k | $2.6k | $0 | $-2.6k |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | $1.7k | $1.0k | $658 | $-371 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
| 0xe102…71df | $1.2k | $965 | $248 | $-716 |
| 0xb8ad…ff58 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $34 | $-1.1k |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $971 | $876 | $95 | $-781 |
| 0xfd99…b908 | $939 | $666 | $273 | $-393 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $842 | $733 | $109 | $-624 |
| $-26.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 3 | $24.2k | $-16.2k | 1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 409 | $23.3k | $-3.5k | 6 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 5 | $19.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 199 | $15.8k | $-2.2k | 3 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 80 | $7.6k | $-2.2k | 6 |