0x15a76480d8b6c81b118804d613476cffada2bea80dcaef5cf449200c81bb58c7
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 99% YES on Polymarket with $247.2k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 98.5% · CLOB volume $247.2k · whales 24h net $1.0k (7 wallets) · 7d net $4.1k · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
98.5%
Yes
Implied No
1.5%
No
Volume
$247.2k
CLOB
Traders
667
4,537 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
99.6% → 98.3% (-1.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.0k
Buy
$1.6k
Sell
$532
Whales
7
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.1k
Buy
$6.4k
Sell
$2.3k
Whales
18
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | $6.5k | $5.0k | $1.5k | $-3.6k |
| 0x0524…1479 | $3.7k | $2.3k | $1.5k | $-805 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | $2.6k | $1.5k | $1.1k | $-353 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | $1.6k | $1.4k | $133 | $-1.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 8 | $37.9k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $32.4k | $-3.7k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 8 | $30.3k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 5 | $26.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $247.2k
98.5%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.9k
97.8%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $334.8k
89.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $207.9k
16.0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.5%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $358.7k
6.9%
| 0xc412…592d | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
| 0xe5b4…1e3e | $810 | $409 | $402 | $-7 |
| 0x5446…18f6 | $695 | $352 | $343 | $-9 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | $549 | $290 | $259 | $-31 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $442 | $442 | $0 | $-442 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $322 | $247 | $75 | $-172 |
| 0x7022…f64e | $283 | $141 | $141 | $0 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $260 | $257 | $3 | $-255 |
| $-26.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 3 | $24.2k | $-16.2k | 1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 409 | $23.3k | $-3.5k | 6 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 5 | $19.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 199 | $15.8k | $-2.2k | 3 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 80 | $7.6k | $-2.2k | 6 |
