0xf84585b48f83e2630a7b5f60b6e43188f29f1d68206685aa3753db065e6bdc09
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 7% YES on Polymarket with $358.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 6.9% · CLOB volume $358.7k · whales 24h net $129 (16 wallets) · 7d net $172 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
6.9%
Yes
Implied No
93.1%
No
Volume
$358.7k
CLOB
Traders
406
2,815 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.5% → 5.9% (-6.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$129
Buy
$1.5k
Sell
$1.3k
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$172
Buy
$1.5k
Sell
$1.3k
Whales
18
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd031…46b1 | $4.0k | $2.5k | $1.5k | $-978 |
| 0x33e9…1a74 | $1.5k | $183 | $1.3k | $1.1k |
| 0x0362…449e | $1.2k | $600 | $554 | $-46 |
| 0x88b6…3cff | $1.0k | $864 | $176 | $-688 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 8 | $37.9k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $32.4k | $-3.7k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 8 | $30.3k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 5 | $26.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $247.2k
98.5%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.9k
97.8%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $334.8k
89.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $207.9k
16.0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.5%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $358.7k
6.9%
| 0xe8a6…644b | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $954 | $678 | $276 | $-403 |
| 0x0524…1479 | $772 | $476 | $296 | $-180 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $560 | $560 | $0 | $-560 |
| 0xf17d…6f86 | $519 | $331 | $188 | $-143 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | $460 | $460 | $0 | $-460 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $302 | $235 | $67 | $-168 |
| 0x1e95…b147 | $299 | $10 | $289 | $279 |
| $-26.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 3 | $24.2k | $-16.2k | 1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 409 | $23.3k | $-3.5k | 6 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 5 | $19.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 199 | $15.8k | $-2.2k | 3 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 80 | $7.6k | $-2.2k | 6 |
