0x1d916047bbca1be9808076a0590c17ff113fb92986a4b4bc7f0f962642158827
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $6.53M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.5% · CLOB volume $6.53M · whales 24h net $113 (9 wallets) · 7d net $1.4k · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.5%
Yes
Implied No
91.5%
No
Volume
$6.53M
CLOB
Traders
2,885
36,952 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.9% → 7.8% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$113
Buy
$159
Sell
$47
Whales
9
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$3.5k
Sell
$2.1k
Whales
59
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd031…46b1 | $3.0k | $2.3k | $683 | $-1.6k |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | $1.8k | $151 | $1.6k | $1.5k |
| 0xdf93…bdc8 | $1.2k | $626 | $578 | $-47 |
| 0x1aac…66fb | $1.2k | $80 | $1.1k | $1.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 8 | $37.9k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $32.4k | $-3.7k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 8 | $30.3k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 5 | $26.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $247.2k
98.6%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.9k
97.8%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $334.8k
89.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $207.9k
17.0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.5%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $358.7k
7.0%
| 0x88b6…3cff | $1.0k | $960 | $52 | $-908 |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6 | $906 | $591 | $316 | $-275 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | $644 | $644 | $0 | $-644 |
| 0xf33e…0ab8 | $635 | $411 | $224 | $-187 |
| 0x0524…1479 | $598 | $445 | $153 | $-291 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $594 | $389 | $205 | $-184 |
| 0xd693…6f4a | $566 | $566 | $0 | $-566 |
| 0xe8a6…644b | $542 | $542 | $0 | $-542 |
| $-26.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 3 | $24.2k | $-16.2k | 1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 409 | $23.3k | $-3.5k | 6 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 5 | $19.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 199 | $15.8k | $-2.2k | 3 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 80 | $7.6k | $-2.2k | 6 |
