0x214527947fec204ea295711072850969d1b72fbb35f0be3f7ba0db0e43c2fdb3
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 98% YES on Polymarket with $4.9k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 97.8% · CLOB volume $4.9k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $237 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
97.8%
Yes
Implied No
2.2%
No
Volume
$4.9k
CLOB
Traders
42
125 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$237
Buy
$309
Sell
$72
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $463 | $371 | $92 | $-279 |
| 0x4f5b…9a86 | $371 | $65 | $306 | $241 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c | $310 | $60 | $251 | $191 |
| 0x77aa…8d9c | $307 | $50 | $257 | $207 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 8 | $37.9k | $-13.7k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $32.4k | $-3.7k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 8 | $30.3k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 5 | $26.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $247.2k
98.5%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.9k
97.8%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $334.8k
89.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $207.9k
16.0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.5%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $358.7k
6.9%
| 0xcc36…d35d | $293 | $244 | $50 | $-194 |
| 0x270a…7b78 | $273 | $252 | $21 | $-230 |
| 0xf51b…ca1b | $257 | $244 | $13 | $-231 |
| 0xf3fa…7be3 | $210 | $133 | $76 | $-57 |
| 0xd693…6f4a | $190 | $190 | $0 | $-190 |
| 0x9c22…444c | $184 | $134 | $51 | $-83 |
| 0xc6cf…b265 | $170 | $150 | $20 | $-130 |
| 0xa58c…56e3 | $154 | $154 | $0 | $-154 |
| $-26.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 3 | $24.2k | $-16.2k | 1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 409 | $23.3k | $-3.5k | 6 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 5 | $19.2k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 199 | $15.8k | $-2.2k | 3 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 80 | $7.6k | $-2.2k | 6 |
