Multi-outcome · 51 open
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.64M
18.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.49M
16.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.17M
14.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.85M
7.8%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.75M
5.3%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $9.43M
4.9%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.11M
2.9%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.84M
2.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.38M
2.4%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.11M
2.1%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.57M
1.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.44M
1.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.86M
1.3%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.29M
1.1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.23M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.34M
1.1%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.03M
0.9%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.14M
0.9%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.58M
0.7%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $44.00M
0.5%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $31.89M
0.5%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $25.46M
0.5%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $22.75M
0.5%
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