0xd65891729ce093cc12236856837eba1a0872fc7998fd4294c21346f7db68079c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $10.15M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 6.1% · CLOB volume $10.15M · whales 24h net $12.6k (18 wallets) · 7d net $27.8k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
6.1%
Yes
Implied No
93.9%
No
Volume
$10.15M
CLOB
Traders
15,015
129,326 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.5% → 6.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.6k
Buy
$14.4k
Sell
$1.8k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$27.8k
Buy
$102.3k
Sell
$74.6k
Whales
93
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x133b…2f22 | $189.4k | $189.4k | $14 | $-189.4k |
| 0xf97e…0034 | $159.8k | $8.6k | $151.2k | $142.5k |
| 0xdd15…4a07 | $79.6k | $51.2k | $28.4k | $-22.7k |
| 0xf559…f462 | $72.4k | $5.0k | $67.5k | $62.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 8,694 | $3.31M | $-3.31M | 35 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,113 | $2.64M | $-87.6k | 27 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x9739…159f | 1,558 | $1.97M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.45M
17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.91M
17.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.28M
15.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.70M
7.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.15M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.18M
5.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.43M
3.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.83M
3.1%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.87M
2.5%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.68M
2.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.44M
2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.70M
1.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.77M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.35M
1.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.81M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.52M
1.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $33.54M
0.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.13M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.83M
0.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.32M
0.7%
| 0x9f0c…749b | $65.4k | $6.3k | $59.1k | $52.8k |
| 0x8adf…48cd | $52.3k | $45.2k | $7.1k | $-38.1k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $25.0k | $24.9k | $97 | $-24.8k |
| 0x8671…d4b7 | $19.2k | $19.2k | $0 | $-19.2k |
| 0x84a4…8cb2 | $16.0k | $15.1k | $861 | $-14.3k |
| 0x80a0…5708 | $12.0k | $11.3k | $721 | $-10.6k |
| 0xc3bf…e70f | $12.0k | $12.0k | $0 | $-12.0k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $10.7k | $10.7k | $0 | $-10.7k |
| $1.97M |
| 9 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,322 | $1.91M | $-1.90M | 15 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,077 | $1.85M | $-1.85M | 9 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 4,915 | $1.65M | $-1.65M | 23 |
| 0x5d18…4972 | 1,607 | $1.53M | $-1.53M | 5 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 1,053 | $1.08M | $-71.6k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 515 | $727.4k | $-727.4k | 6 |
