0xe6bcc2f1dd025ce5e1833190f7c60a71171c94f805df55b9ab0ded695ec93565
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 18% YES on Polymarket with $15.45M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 17.9% · CLOB volume $15.45M · whales 24h net $2.4k (16 wallets) · 7d net $84.5k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
17.9%
Yes
Implied No
82.0%
No
Volume
$15.45M
CLOB
Traders
20,279
167,784 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
18.0% → 18.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.4k
Buy
$4.3k
Sell
$1.9k
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$84.5k
Buy
$163.8k
Sell
$79.3k
Whales
112
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb4d2…ce99 | $106.3k | $56.1k | $50.1k | $-6.0k |
| 0xc2de…6781 | $84.7k | $51.9k | $32.8k | $-19.1k |
| 0xc0df…8dad | $40.4k | $37.2k | $3.2k | $-34.0k |
| 0x5607…d320 | $30.6k | $25.0k | $5.6k | $-19.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 8,691 | $3.31M | $-3.31M | 35 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,112 | $2.64M | $-87.6k | 27 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x9739…159f | 1,553 | $1.97M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.45M
17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.91M
17.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.28M
15.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.69M
7.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.15M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.18M
5.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.43M
3.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.83M
3.1%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.87M
2.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.68M
2.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.44M
2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.70M
1.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.77M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.35M
1.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.81M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.52M
1.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $33.54M
0.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.13M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.83M
0.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.32M
0.7%
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $19.4k | $12.5k | $6.9k | $-5.5k |
| 0x6d79…ae69 | $18.9k | $3.3k | $15.6k | $12.3k |
| 0x77a4…402b | $17.8k | $3.4k | $14.4k | $11.1k |
| 0x0cee…f962 | $16.8k | $14.2k | $2.6k | $-11.6k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $16.7k | $16.7k | $0 | $-16.7k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $15.0k | $15.0k | $0 | $-15.0k |
| 0x2b86…2dc8 | $14.8k | $2.5k | $12.3k | $9.8k |
| 0xbbd2…9b1a | $14.4k | $12.0k | $2.4k | $-9.5k |
| $1.97M |
| 9 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,322 | $1.91M | $-1.90M | 15 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,077 | $1.85M | $-1.85M | 9 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 4,915 | $1.65M | $-1.65M | 23 |
| 0x5d18…4972 | 1,607 | $1.53M | $-1.53M | 5 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 1,053 | $1.08M | $-71.6k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 515 | $727.4k | $-727.4k | 6 |
