0xdce84960dce38aa4a5800a5eba7c9ac34d2ce49ba9d44c42572c472d468af264
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $33.54M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $33.54M · whales 24h net $5.5k (14 wallets) · 7d net $14.6k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.8%
Yes
Implied No
99.3%
No
Volume
$33.54M
CLOB
Traders
7,874
95,694 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.5% → 0.7% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.5k
Buy
$610.8k
Sell
$605.3k
Whales
14
Last 7 days
Net flow
$14.6k
Buy
$1.01M
Sell
$999.6k
Whales
41
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5d18…4972 | $1.20M | $1.20M | $0 | $-1.20M |
| 0x40cf…d21d | $567.8k | $3.4k | $564.4k | $561.0k |
| 0x133b…2f22 | $283.4k | $3.4k | $280.0k | $276.6k |
| 0x034c…d9c0 | $216.3k | $143.7k | $72.5k | $-71.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 8,945 | $3.33M | $-3.33M | 36 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,216 | $2.65M | $-88.7k | 28 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x9739…159f | 1,552 | $1.97M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.44M
17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.91M
17.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.28M
15.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.69M
7.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.15M
6.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.18M
5.1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.83M
3.1%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.87M
3.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.43M
2.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.68M
2.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.44M
2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.70M
1.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.77M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.35M
1.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.81M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.52M
1.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $33.54M
0.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.13M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.83M
0.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.32M
0.7%
| 0xaba6…0cd9 | $87.3k | $58.1k | $29.2k | $-28.8k |
| 0x0b81…13c4 | $83.8k | $500 | $83.3k | $82.8k |
| 0x6b23…5a43 | $56.9k | $37.8k | $19.1k | $-18.8k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $50.8k | $33.8k | $17.0k | $-16.7k |
| 0x542a…a81b | $50.3k | $300 | $50.0k | $49.7k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $39.2k | $39.2k | $0 | $-39.2k |
| 0xe234…304a | $36.3k | $287 | $36.0k | $35.7k |
| 0x08c8…1da2 | $23.1k | $138 | $23.0k | $22.9k |
| $1.97M |
| 9 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,761 | $1.92M | $-1.91M | 15 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,139 | $1.85M | $-1.85M | 9 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 5,197 | $1.66M | $-1.66M | 23 |
| 0x5d18…4972 | 1,607 | $1.53M | $-1.53M | 5 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 1,096 | $1.08M | $-72.1k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 526 | $730.3k | $-730.2k | 6 |
