0x0f49db97f71c68b1e42a6d16e3de93d85dbf7d4148e3f018eb79e88554be9f75
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 17% YES on Polymarket with $27.91M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 17.1% · CLOB volume $27.91M · whales 24h net $1.8k (22 wallets) · 7d net $40.1k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
17.1%
Yes
Implied No
83.0%
No
Volume
$27.91M
CLOB
Traders
30,559
311,344 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
16.8% → 17.1% (+0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$6.1k
Sell
$4.3k
Whales
22
Last 7 days
Net flow
$40.1k
Buy
$95.1k
Sell
$55.0k
Whales
100
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ec…e8f1 | $366.9k | $56.6k | $310.3k | $253.6k |
| 0x8e5c…a68a | $147.2k | $147.2k | $0 | $-147.2k |
| 0xa0dc…586c | $141.5k | $67.2k | $74.3k | $7.2k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $85.6k | $85.6k | $0 | $-85.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 8,691 | $3.31M | $-3.31M | 35 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,112 | $2.64M | $-87.6k | 27 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x9739…159f | 1,553 | $1.97M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.45M
17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.91M
17.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.28M
15.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.69M
7.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.15M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.18M
5.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.43M
3.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.83M
3.1%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.87M
2.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.68M
2.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.44M
2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.70M
1.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.77M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.35M
1.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.81M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.52M
1.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $33.54M
0.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.13M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.83M
0.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.32M
0.7%
| 0x2663…ed1f | $45.9k | $45.9k | $4 | $-45.9k |
| 0x58dc…e95c | $45.8k | $40.1k | $5.7k | $-34.4k |
| 0x443e…fef8 | $36.8k | $32.2k | $4.6k | $-27.7k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $29.9k | $29.9k | $0 | $-29.9k |
| 0x011f…1122 | $25.7k | $25.7k | $0 | $-25.7k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $25.1k | $16.2k | $8.9k | $-7.2k |
| 0x8671…d4b7 | $22.8k | $22.8k | $0 | $-22.8k |
| 0xff17…5745 | $20.8k | $18.1k | $2.6k | $-15.5k |
| $1.97M |
| 9 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,322 | $1.91M | $-1.90M | 15 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,077 | $1.85M | $-1.85M | 9 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 4,915 | $1.65M | $-1.65M | 23 |
| 0x5d18…4972 | 1,607 | $1.53M | $-1.53M | 5 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 1,053 | $1.08M | $-71.6k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 515 | $727.4k | $-727.4k | 6 |
