0x36db77c539bcc8c7bf0686c1b99f30c5a5eed1f53d3b3a27a071550c81f83701
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $17.68M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $17.68M · whales 24h net $242 (8 wallets) · 7d net $11.6k · 38/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.5%
Yes
Implied No
97.5%
No
Volume
$17.68M
CLOB
Traders
12,705
137,780 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.5% → 2.6% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$242
Buy
$863
Sell
$621
Whales
8
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.6k
Buy
$17.0k
Sell
$5.4k
Whales
43
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5b72…bedd | $76.5k | $70.7k | $5.7k | $-65.0k |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | $42.0k | $1.3k | $40.7k | $39.5k |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6 | $38.9k | $37.9k | $1.0k | $-36.8k |
| 0x8adf…48cd | $37.3k | $37.3k | $0 | $-37.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2663…ed1f | 8,691 | $3.31M | $-3.31M | 35 |
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | 1,112 | $2.64M | $-87.6k | 27 |
| 0x46d6…8d38 | 113 | $2.04M | $2.03M | 12 |
| 0x9739…159f | 1,553 | $1.97M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
38 open · 50 total · Event board
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.45M
17.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $27.91M
17.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.28M
15.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.69M
7.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.15M
6.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.18M
5.1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $13.43M
3.2%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $10.83M
3.1%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $52.87M
2.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $17.68M
2.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $18.44M
2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $14.70M
1.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $15.77M
1.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $11.35M
1.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $24.81M
1.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.52M
1.1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $33.54M
0.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $12.13M
0.7%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $50.83M
0.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open · $26.32M
0.7%
| 0xdd15…4a07 | $15.6k | $504 | $15.1k | $14.6k |
| 0xeff0…1210 | $12.3k | $12.0k | $337 | $-11.7k |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $9.8k | $9.6k | $280 | $-9.3k |
| 0xa75c…895e | $7.0k | $199 | $6.8k | $6.6k |
| 0x1963…9bfd | $6.6k | $198 | $6.4k | $6.2k |
| 0x8974…15a5 | $6.4k | $3.2k | $3.2k | $-13 |
| 0x245e…183c | $6.2k | $6.2k | $0 | $-6.2k |
| 0x60c6…247f | $4.7k | $144 | $4.5k | $4.4k |
| $1.97M |
| 9 |
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,322 | $1.91M | $-1.90M | 15 |
| 0x0c0e…434e | 1,077 | $1.85M | $-1.85M | 9 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 4,915 | $1.65M | $-1.65M | 23 |
| 0x5d18…4972 | 1,607 | $1.53M | $-1.53M | 5 |
| 0x133b…2f22 | 1,053 | $1.08M | $-71.6k | 7 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 515 | $727.4k | $-727.4k | 6 |
