0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $72.56M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $72.56M · whales 24h net $273.3k (144 wallets) · 7d net $1.84M · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$72.56M
CLOB
Traders
19,842
302,626 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
16.0% → 16.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$273.3k
Buy
$494.9k
Sell
$221.6k
Whales
144
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.84M
Buy
$3.79M
Sell
$1.95M
Whales
599
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x696d…f89d | $2.05M | $1.30M | $755.8k | $-542.7k |
| 0x88c4…129a | $1.72M | $896.7k | $820.9k | $-75.8k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $1.41M | $830.1k | $584.3k | $-245.8k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $1.34M | $649.5k | $686.9k | $37.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x696d…f89d | 971 | $2.05M | $-542.7k | 1 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 556 | $1.72M | $-75.8k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 1,451 | $1.41M | $-245.8k | 1 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 531 | $1.34M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open · $72.56M
15.5%
| 0x3c91…9af7 | $1.15M | $722.5k | $427.6k | $-294.8k |
| 0xe234…304a | $811.5k | $465.3k | $346.2k | $-119.1k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $804.9k | $471.2k | $333.6k | $-137.6k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $766.0k | $413.0k | $353.0k | $-59.9k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $721.7k | $428.6k | $293.1k | $-135.4k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $714.5k | $589.7k | $124.9k | $-464.8k |
| 0x996a…e3cc | $671.4k | $426.0k | $245.4k | $-180.6k |
| 0xad96…d498 | $628.6k | $417.9k | $210.7k | $-207.2k |
| $37.4k |
| 1 |
| 0x3c91…9af7 | 421 | $1.15M | $-294.8k | 1 |
| 0xe234…304a | 864 | $811.5k | $-119.1k | 1 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 704 | $804.9k | $-137.6k | 1 |
| 0x2974…9c23 | 200 | $766.0k | $-59.9k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 529 | $721.7k | $-135.4k | 1 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 90 | $714.5k | $-464.8k | 1 |
