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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Active 86 days left

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

0x6fefc0438c7598b23531457c8c60541990d0786bd4bd9dfc3eabc8d95c291092

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $5.49M total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.7% · CLOB volume $5.49M · whales 24h net $552 (5 wallets) · 7d net $2.1k · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.7%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$5.49M

CLOB

Traders

6,839

108,178 trades

Yes 0.7%No 99.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.6% → 0.6% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$552

Buy

$567

Sell

$15

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.1k

Buy

$3.0k

Sell

$915

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($552)
•7d whale net still positive ($2.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 23:46:31

99.4¢$502

—BUY2026-10-07 23:46:31

0.6¢$3

NOBUY2026-10-07 16:15:02

100.7¢$7

NOBUY2026-10-07 16:15:02

14285.7¢$7

NOBUY2026-10-07 16:01:02

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x121f…15c1	$35.5k	$17.8k	$17.6k	$-235
0x1c4f…2852	$15.4k	$15.4k	$0	$-15.4k
0xe821…b27e	$14.1k	$14.1k	$0	$-14.1k
0x6916…2fd4	$12.6k	$12.6k	$0	$-12.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe734…4f0c	1,293	$2.62M	$-1.53M	18
0x6916…2fd4	1,890	$1.41M	$-1.41M	29
0x1465…7072	385	$1.22M	$-1.06M	11
0xcc50…4c82	2,359	$1.18M

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

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