0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $40.76M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.9% · CLOB volume $40.76M · whales 24h net $125.4k (63 wallets) · 7d net $580.9k · 1/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.9%
Yes
Implied No
97.2%
No
Volume
$40.76M
CLOB
Traders
15,727
128,857 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.2% → 2.9% (-0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$125.4k
Buy
$155.9k
Sell
$30.6k
Whales
63
Last 7 days
Net flow
$580.9k
Buy
$1.02M
Sell
$439.4k
Whales
211
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x115a…e4a6 | $392.8k | $392.8k | $0 | $-392.8k |
| 0xb09d…64c8 | $390.9k | $390.9k | $0 | $-390.9k |
| 0xaf23…377f | $384.7k | $325.9k | $58.9k | $-267.0k |
| 0xf695…17ac | $334.9k | $22.0k | $312.9k | $290.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa829…691d | 832 | $2.06M | $395.5k | 2 |
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 339 | $421.8k | $-323.3k | 2 |
| 0xb09d…64c8 | 278 | $401.9k | $-401.9k | 2 |
| 0x115a…e4a6 | 378 | $392.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
open · $40.76M
2.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
closed · $11.23M
0.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
closed · $8.74M
0.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
closed · $7.19M
0.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
closed · $1.94M
0.0%
| 0x6979…c2a3 | $269.2k | $136.0k | $133.2k | $-2.8k |
| 0xbcf3…9d88 | $258.4k | $141.4k | $117.0k | $-24.4k |
| 0xed10…d2e5 | $222.5k | $175.9k | $46.6k | $-129.3k |
| 0xfa3b…6900 | $183.7k | $160.1k | $23.7k | $-136.4k |
| 0x09f6…b528 | $164.6k | $153.6k | $11.0k | $-142.6k |
| 0x7460…2936 | $155.6k | $78.3k | $77.3k | $-977 |
| 0x8acb…7e0f | $127.9k | $14.6k | $113.3k | $98.7k |
| 0x33d2…952e | $125.6k | $125.3k | $250 | $-125.1k |
| $-392.8k |
| 1 |
| 0xaf23…377f | 182 | $384.7k | $-267.0k | 1 |
| 0xad96…d498 | 82 | $369.6k | $-338.9k | 2 |
| 0xf695…17ac | 387 | $334.9k | $290.8k | 1 |
| 0x6979…c2a3 | 109 | $324.3k | $52.0k | 2 |
| 0xab19…4876 | 251 | $273.0k | $-273.0k | 2 |
| 0x1247…9ce9 | 154 | $263.7k | $-263.3k | 2 |
