0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $3.42M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.5% · CLOB volume $3.42M · whales 24h net $30.5k (30 wallets) · 7d net $96.2k · 3/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.5%
Yes
Implied No
86.5%
No
Volume
$3.42M
CLOB
Traders
1,547
16,052 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.0% → 14.0% (+2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$30.5k
Buy
$59.6k
Sell
$29.1k
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$96.2k
Buy
$190.5k
Sell
$94.3k
Whales
116
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $305.3k | $292.5k | $12.9k | $-279.6k |
| 0x1cc1…b8df | $151.6k | $117.1k | $34.5k | $-82.6k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $143.3k | $64.3k | $79.0k | $14.7k |
| 0x91b1…cee1 | $126.2k | $56.7k | $69.5k | $12.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0c0e…434e | 196 | $463.2k | $-338.5k | 5 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 208 | $358.7k | $-139.0k | 5 |
| 0xd104…acef | 181 | $344.9k | $-334.1k | 4 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 253 | $335.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 8 total · Event board
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
open · $3.42M
13.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
open · $130.6k
8.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
open · $802.0k
2.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
closed · $4.56M
0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
closed · $2.73M
0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
closed · $2.37M
0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
closed · $1.36M
0.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
closed · $1.14M
0.0%
| 0xd104…acef | $121.5k | $121.3k | $223 | $-121.1k |
| 0xde5a…2251 | $109.5k | $75.2k | $34.3k | $-40.9k |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $96.3k | $41.4k | $54.9k | $13.6k |
| 0x449c…879e | $85.0k | $40.2k | $44.8k | $4.6k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | $73.5k | $54.9k | $18.6k | $-36.3k |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | $49.7k | $31.4k | $18.3k | $-13.2k |
| 0xe234…304a | $46.2k | $25.8k | $20.4k | $-5.4k |
| 0xfb59…83f9 | $43.7k | $27.9k | $15.8k | $-12.1k |
| $-309.3k |
| 2 |
| 0x2e0b…8070 | 159 | $331.1k | $-290.2k | 3 |
| 0x2d99…4ca3 | 60 | $307.8k | $-110.6k | 2 |
| 0xde5a…2251 | 335 | $201.6k | $-26.9k | 4 |
| 0x1cc1…b8df | 37 | $151.6k | $-82.6k | 1 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 69 | $143.3k | $14.7k | 1 |
| 0x91b1…cee1 | 93 | $126.2k | $12.8k | 1 |
