0xae6d228c3a89c04f5d48b130c86416b146ee3fdc19c6f201603d9c9682dca3ea
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $473.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $473.7k · whales 24h net $2.5k (4 wallets) · 7d net $2.6k · 18/32 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$473.7k
CLOB
Traders
1,263
7,332 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.2% → 0.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.5k
Buy
$5.0k
Sell
$2.5k
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$5.1k
Sell
$2.5k
Whales
9
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfe6e…074e | $10.0k | $10.0k | $11 | $-10.0k |
| 0x688b…49f5 | $7.6k | $3.3k | $4.3k | $1.1k |
| 0x1664…c71c | $6.3k | $4.2k | $2.1k | $-2.1k |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | $6.0k | $3.0k | $3.0k | $-6 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 985 | $323.9k | $-323.9k | 18 |
| 0x50ea…010f | 315 | $314.1k | $298.9k | 16 |
| 0x1664…c71c | 428 | $108.1k | $-36.0k | 18 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 42 | $84.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 32 total · Event board
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $6.67M
88.0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.17M
5.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $697.5k
2.4%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $2.32M
0.9%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $949.3k
0.6%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.13M
0.4%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.03M
0.4%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $837.6k
0.4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $925.9k
0.3%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $905.1k
0.3%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.45M
0.3%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $784.3k
0.3%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $473.7k
0.1%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $570.5k
0.1%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $436.6k
0.1%
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $425.0k
0.1%
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $324.8k
0.1%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $187.8k
0.1%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $5.22M
0.1%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.69M
0.1%
| 0x50ea…010f | $5.0k | $2.5k | $2.5k | $12 |
| 0x0873…09e8 | $4.4k | $4.4k | $0 | $-4.4k |
| 0xff4e…5502 | $3.0k | $3.0k | $3 | $-3.0k |
| 0xe55e…e1b8 | $3.0k | $3 | $3.0k | $3.0k |
| 0x95b7…bb85 | $2.5k | $5 | $2.5k | $2.5k |
| 0x13fa…954c | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x56c2…6219 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $1.1k | $1.0k | $2 | $-1.0k |
| $4.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 171 | $72.6k | $-24.1k | 5 |
| 0xcd95…e643 | 266 | $66.5k | $-29 | 1 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 108 | $64.6k | $-63.8k | 17 |
| 0x614d…1546 | 60 | $54.9k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | 42 | $52.3k | $2.0k | 8 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 64 | $40.1k | $-37.2k | 1 |
