0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $1.17M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.7% · CLOB volume $1.17M · whales 24h net $11 (5 wallets) · 7d net $677 · 15/32 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.7%
Yes
Implied No
94.3%
No
Volume
$1.17M
CLOB
Traders
2,189
14,085 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.7% → 4.6% (-2.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11
Buy
$17
Sell
$6
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$677
Buy
$4.4k
Sell
$3.7k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3e59…b2be | $3.7k | $200 | $3.5k | $3.3k |
| 0x7841…7db6 | $3.4k | $1.0k | $2.3k | $1.3k |
| 0x6992…6c1d | $3.2k | $3.2k | $0 | $-3.2k |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | $2.4k | $2.4k | $0 | $-2.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 982 | $281.0k | $-281.0k | 18 |
| 0x50ea…010f | 288 | $269.6k | $254.4k | 14 |
| 0x1664…c71c | 428 | $108.1k | $-36.0k | 18 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 42 | $84.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 32 total · Event board
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $6.67M
88.0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.17M
5.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $697.5k
2.4%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $2.32M
0.9%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $949.3k
0.6%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.13M
0.4%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.03M
0.4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $925.9k
0.4%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $837.6k
0.4%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $905.1k
0.3%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.45M
0.3%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $784.2k
0.3%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $473.7k
0.1%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $570.5k
0.1%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $187.8k
0.1%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $5.22M
0.1%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.69M
0.1%
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.39M
0.1%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.18M
0.1%
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $860.2k
0.1%
| 0x121d…832a | $1.5k | $212 | $1.3k | $1.1k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $1.4k | $1.1k | $326 | $-780 |
| 0x298f…1601 | $1.3k | $70 | $1.2k | $1.2k |
| 0x18b8…1a4c | $1.1k | $50 | $1.1k | $1.0k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $9 | $-1.0k |
| 0xaf85…86e1 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0x0a6d…1d0a | $986 | $962 | $24 | $-938 |
| 0xbefa…300d | $741 | $741 | $0 | $-741 |
| $4.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 171 | $72.6k | $-24.1k | 5 |
| 0xcd95…e643 | 266 | $66.5k | $-29 | 1 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 108 | $64.6k | $-63.8k | 17 |
| 0x614d…1546 | 60 | $54.9k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | 42 | $52.3k | $2.0k | 8 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 64 | $40.1k | $-37.2k | 1 |
