0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $2.32M total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $2.32M · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $281 · 15/32 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.9%
Yes
Implied No
99.1%
No
Volume
$2.32M
CLOB
Traders
9,371
36,177 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$281
Buy
$282
Sell
$1
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfe6e…074e | $3.1k | $3.0k | $68 | $-2.9k |
| 0x13fa…954c | $2.5k | $2.1k | $424 | $-1.7k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $1.4k | $1.1k | $319 | $-787 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc21e…0215 | 982 | $281.0k | $-281.0k | 18 |
| 0x50ea…010f | 288 | $269.6k | $254.4k | 14 |
| 0x1664…c71c | 428 | $108.1k | $-36.0k | 18 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 42 | $84.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 32 total · Event board
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $6.67M
88.0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.17M
5.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $697.5k
2.4%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $2.32M
0.9%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $949.3k
0.6%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.13M
0.4%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.03M
0.4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $925.9k
0.4%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $837.6k
0.4%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $905.1k
0.3%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.45M
0.3%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $784.2k
0.3%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $473.7k
0.1%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $570.5k
0.1%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $187.8k
0.1%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $5.22M
0.1%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.69M
0.1%
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.39M
0.1%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $3.18M
0.1%
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
closed · $860.2k
0.1%
| 0x688b…49f5 | $956 | $386 | $570 | $184 |
| 0x4b5b…0872 | $746 | $5 | $741 | $736 |
| 0xe55e…e1b8 | $480 | $5 | $475 | $470 |
| 0x2e68…6898 | $442 | $306 | $137 | $-169 |
| 0x7b0f…145c | $293 | $292 | $1 | $-291 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $257 | $90 | $167 | $77 |
| 0x41f3…f836 | $218 | $87 | $131 | $44 |
| 0x1284…3694 | $202 | $202 | $0 | $-202 |
| $4.6k |
| 1 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | 171 | $72.6k | $-24.1k | 5 |
| 0xcd95…e643 | 266 | $66.5k | $-29 | 1 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 108 | $64.6k | $-63.8k | 17 |
| 0x614d…1546 | 60 | $54.9k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | 42 | $52.3k | $2.0k | 8 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 64 | $40.1k | $-37.2k | 1 |
