0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $26.87M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $26.87M · whales 24h net $21.6k (44 wallets) · 7d net $373.0k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$26.87M
CLOB
Traders
12,718
167,905 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 5.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$21.6k
Buy
$29.5k
Sell
$7.9k
Whales
44
Last 7 days
Net flow
$373.0k
Buy
$719.4k
Sell
$346.4k
Whales
256
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $289.0k | $282.6k | $6.4k | $-276.2k |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $195.1k | $103.6k | $91.4k | $-12.2k |
| 0x5d2b…cb8c | $177.2k | $176.5k | $718 | $-175.8k |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $130.2k | $75.2k | $55.0k | $-20.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8afa…adb6 | 814 | $289.0k | $-276.2k | 1 |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 61 | $195.1k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x5d2b…cb8c | 108 | $177.2k | $-175.8k | 1 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 48 | $130.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open · $26.87M
5.5%
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $127.2k | $84.3k | $42.9k | $-41.4k |
| 0x05e2…6e12 | $122.4k | $61.4k | $61.0k | $-387 |
| 0xded8…ca0f | $120.5k | $85.1k | $35.4k | $-49.7k |
| 0x3c91…9af7 | $100.8k | $67.9k | $32.9k | $-35.0k |
| 0x9c26…74bc | $94.7k | $76.3k | $18.5k | $-57.8k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $91.7k | $47.2k | $44.5k | $-2.7k |
| 0xfffa…864b | $84.7k | $84.7k | $0 | $-84.7k |
| 0x4755…4158 | $77.2k | $40.0k | $37.2k | $-2.8k |
| $-20.2k |
| 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 114 | $127.2k | $-41.4k | 1 |
| 0x05e2…6e12 | 22 | $122.4k | $-387 | 1 |
| 0xded8…ca0f | 47 | $120.5k | $-49.7k | 1 |
| 0x3c91…9af7 | 46 | $100.8k | $-35.0k | 1 |
| 0x9c26…74bc | 133 | $94.7k | $-57.8k | 1 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 43 | $91.7k | $-2.7k | 1 |