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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Active 26 days left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 53.0% · CLOB volume $581.8k · whales 24h net $9.5k (53 wallets) · 7d net $127.4k · 4/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

53.0%

Yes

Implied No

47.0%

Volume

$581.8k

CLOB

Traders

673

4,357 trades

Yes 53.0%No 47.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

56.0% → 54.0% (-2.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$9.5k

Buy

$16.9k

Sell

$7.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$127.4k

Buy

$227.3k

Sell

$99.9k

Whales

224

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 53.0%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($9.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($127.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-06 04:23:47

54.0¢$3

—BUY2026-08-06 04:23:47

46.0¢$2

—BUY2026-08-06 04:23:45

54.0¢$3

—BUY2026-08-06 04:23:45

46.0¢$2

—BUY2026-08-06 04:18:41

54.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x5297…7b99	$31.7k	$19.9k	$11.8k	$-8.1k
0x122c…fbed	$27.9k	$14.0k	$13.9k	$-30
0x6d9f…9790	$18.8k	$10.6k	$8.2k	$-2.4k
0x60a9…5a71	$18.7k	$8.0k	$10.7k	$2.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	5,876	$588.2k	$-9.6k	7
0xc8ab…6418	978	$345.3k	$-339.8k	8
0x7447…a16d	368	$304.3k	$-12.2k	4
0x53e5…6177	228	$255.3k

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