Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

0xd8a5843555ba95455a28d895660c07c59b615184bf4ae64893992f3504797d29

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $896.6k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $896.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $723 · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$896.6k

CLOB

Traders

1,720

18,395 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$723

Buy

$4.4k

Sell

$3.7k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($723)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-06 19:05:41

100.5¢$482

NOBUY2026-10-06 19:05:41

20000.0¢$18

NOBUY2026-10-06 19:05:41

20000.0¢$464

—BUY2026-10-03 08:55:54

0.5¢$15

NOBUY2026-10-03 08:55:54

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd4db…ed4b	$20.6k	$10.6k	$10.0k	$-658
0x4574…0b7a	$17.1k	$14.1k	$3.0k	$-11.1k
0x6916…2fd4	$12.9k	$12.9k	$0	$-12.9k
0x6db9…4ab5	$12.8k	$6.3k	$6.4k	$107

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe734…4f0c	1,292	$2.62M	$-1.53M	18
0x6916…2fd4	1,890	$1.41M	$-1.41M	29
0x1465…7072	385	$1.22M	$-1.06M	11
0xcc50…4c82	2,359	$1.18M

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