Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

0xe71b9d788ce662d967ff2c90749ff8b26cee290455ef6cb84f33d1393ffae115

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $811.0k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $811.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $905 · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.3%

Yes

Implied No

98.8%

Volume

$811.0k

CLOB

Traders

974

6,882 trades

Yes 1.3%No 98.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$905

Buy

$6.6k

Sell

$5.7k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($905)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-06 15:08:17

98.9¢$2

—BUY2026-10-06 15:08:17

1.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-10-06 10:53:40

101.4¢$22

NOBUY2026-10-06 10:53:40

7142.9¢$22

NOBUY2026-10-06 03:55:31

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x6916…2fd4	$45.7k	$45.7k	$0	$-45.7k
0xa19c…de6b	$25.5k	$10.0k	$15.6k	$5.6k
0x1c00…741d	$24.8k	$10.6k	$14.2k	$3.6k
0x6db9…4ab5	$21.3k	$274	$21.0k	$20.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe734…4f0c	1,292	$2.62M	$-1.53M	18
0x6916…2fd4	1,890	$1.41M	$-1.41M	29
0x1465…7072	385	$1.22M	$-1.06M	11
0xcc50…4c82	2,359	$1.18M

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