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Israel closes its airspace by...?Active Ended

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 9.5% · CLOB volume $832.7k · whales 24h net $12.3k (47 wallets) · 7d net $218.9k · 2/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

9.5%

Yes

Implied No

90.5%

Volume

$832.7k

CLOB

Traders

2,156

13,106 trades

Yes 9.5%No 90.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

8.0% → 8.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$12.3k

Buy

$25.2k

Sell

$12.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$218.9k

Buy

$372.3k

Sell

$153.3k

Whales

230

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($12.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($218.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 9.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:45:47

111.1¢$4

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:45:47

1000.0¢$4

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:34:20

91.4¢$100

YESBUY2026-08-06 04:34:20

8.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:34:20

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$132.2k	$65.9k	$66.3k	$346
0x9648…6825	$56.9k	$56.9k	$0	$-56.9k
0xc8ab…6418	$51.9k	$51.9k	$0	$-51.9k
0x21ff…0d71	$38.3k	$37.2k	$1.0k	$-36.2k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	3,648	$484.5k	$-6.8k	5
0xeb49…693e	694	$393.1k	$-137.4k	5
0xc8ab…6418	824	$344.6k	$-339.9k	5
0x9592…a7b8	508	$341.8k

Dig deeper with Polydata

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