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Israel closes its airspace by...?Active 9 days left

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

0xdbaa19c72378f7eb2fc01c0b40404857a1b1e68e3561ce5bbe792a24ce79377e

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 6.2% · CLOB volume $681.1k · whales 24h net $15.9k (73 wallets) · 7d net $305.9k · 2/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.2%

Yes

Implied No

93.8%

Volume

$681.1k

CLOB

Traders

807

5,867 trades

Yes 6.2%No 93.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

6.0% → 6.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$15.9k

Buy

$33.4k

Sell

$17.5k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$305.9k

Buy

$522.3k

Sell

$216.4k

Whales

351

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($15.9k)
•7d whale net still positive ($305.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.2% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:01:35

106.7¢$300

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:01:35

93.7¢$120

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:01:35

93.7¢$59

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:01:35

93.7¢$22

NOBUY2026-08-06 04:01:35

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$52.5k	$28.8k	$23.7k	$-5.1k
0x3eae…e2ed	$30.4k	$25.1k	$5.3k	$-19.8k
0x7447…a16d	$29.2k	$2.8k	$26.4k	$23.5k
0xc7e5…2d3a	$29.1k	$13.3k	$15.8k	$2.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	3,648	$484.5k	$-6.8k	5
0xeb49…693e	694	$393.1k	$-137.4k	5
0xc8ab…6418	824	$344.6k	$-339.9k	5
0x9592…a7b8	508	$341.8k

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