Multi-outcome · 6 open
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Volume $1.62MTraders 680Trades 44,314
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
open · $559.0k
63.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
open · $387.0k
30.0%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
open · $492.2k
2.3%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
open · $528.3k
0.9%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
open · $503.3k
0.5%
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