0x376f0a5ce8279b4bf840018217487848634b686a9669c8c2d79eca67410b1aeb
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?” trades at 37% YES on Polymarket with $459.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 36.5% · CLOB volume $459.1k · whales 24h net $1.8k (19 wallets) · 7d net $10.1k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
36.5%
Yes
Implied No
63.5%
No
Volume
$459.1k
CLOB
Traders
1,230
11,617 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
37.0% → 36.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$1.5k
Whales
19
Last 7 days
Net flow
$10.1k
Buy
$22.4k
Sell
$12.3k
Whales
56
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x34db…1b63 | $9.0k | $4.9k | $4.1k | $-789 |
| 0x9648…6825 | $7.3k | $7.3k | $4 | $-7.3k |
| 0x1186…051b | $6.8k | $5.1k | $1.7k | $-3.3k |
| 0xf063…7893 | $6.6k | $2.8k | $3.8k | $976 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1186…051b | 187 | $62.7k | $-7.5k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 27 | $53.1k | $-53.0k | 4 |
| 0x34db…1b63 | 652 | $38.8k | $-6.5k | 3 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 158 | $23.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
open · $698.3k
64.0%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
open · $459.1k
36.5%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
open · $602.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
open · $550.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
open · $529.3k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
closed · $868.8k
0.1%
| 0x3069…f8ef | $6.2k | $2.0k | $4.2k | $2.2k |
| 0x6e6c…e358 | $5.9k | $4.7k | $1.2k | $-3.4k |
| 0x0c18…a04c | $5.2k | $2.0k | $3.2k | $1.1k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $4.9k | $2.0k | $2.9k | $961 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $3.7k | $2.9k | $839 | $-2.1k |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | $3.2k | $2.5k | $672 | $-1.8k |
| 0x96e8…d240 | $3.0k | $3.0k | $31 | $-2.9k |
| 0x0380…073d | $2.9k | $2.5k | $387 | $-2.1k |
| $-19.8k |
| 6 |
| 0x0380…073d | 289 | $22.3k | $-18.6k | 6 |
| 0xd86d…648d | 49 | $18.8k | $-8.9k | 1 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 96 | $14.4k | $-5.4k | 3 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 113 | $14.0k | $-11.4k | 2 |
| 0xf063…7893 | 151 | $13.6k | $-3.4k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 23 | $12.1k | $-12.0k | 2 |
