0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb
As of Oct 7, 2026, “Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?” trades at 64% YES on Polymarket with $698.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 64.0% · CLOB volume $698.3k · whales 24h net $4.9k (29 wallets) · 7d net $23.6k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
64.0%
Yes
Implied No
36.0%
No
Volume
$698.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,506
14,534 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
60.0% → 66.0% (+6.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.9k
Buy
$7.6k
Sell
$2.7k
Whales
29
Last 7 days
Net flow
$23.6k
Buy
$43.0k
Sell
$19.5k
Whales
72
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1186…051b | $55.9k | $30.0k | $25.9k | $-4.1k |
| 0x34db…1b63 | $28.1k | $16.7k | $11.5k | $-5.2k |
| 0xd86d…648d | $18.8k | $13.8k | $4.9k | $-8.9k |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | $10.8k | $10.2k | $650 | $-9.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1186…051b | 187 | $62.7k | $-7.5k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 27 | $53.1k | $-53.0k | 4 |
| 0x34db…1b63 | 663 | $38.9k | $-6.5k | 3 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 158 | $23.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
open · $698.3k
64.0%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
open · $459.1k
36.0%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
open · $602.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
open · $550.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
open · $529.3k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
closed · $868.8k
0.1%
| 0x94c4…43ca | $9.5k | $9.5k | $11 | $-9.5k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $9.1k | $7.5k | $1.6k | $-5.9k |
| 0x0ced…12b2 | $7.2k | $7.2k | $15 | $-7.2k |
| 0xf063…7893 | $7.0k | $5.7k | $1.3k | $-4.4k |
| 0x5eb0…5012 | $6.6k | $4.3k | $2.4k | $-1.9k |
| 0xde28…2115 | $6.1k | $3.3k | $2.8k | $-509 |
| 0x3080…337b | $6.0k | $3.8k | $2.2k | $-1.6k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $4.8k | $4.8k | $49 | $-4.7k |
| $-19.8k |
| 6 |
| 0x0380…073d | 289 | $22.3k | $-18.6k | 6 |
| 0xd86d…648d | 49 | $18.8k | $-8.9k | 1 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 96 | $14.4k | $-5.4k | 3 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 113 | $14.0k | $-11.4k | 2 |
| 0xf063…7893 | 151 | $13.6k | $-3.4k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 23 | $12.1k | $-12.0k | 2 |
