0x77e931cce8473e1b380bd4457a54d5948d3739894169cb23fb2b1bb20b6897bd
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $529.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $529.3k · whales 24h net $2.0k (15 wallets) · 7d net $9.4k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$529.3k
CLOB
Traders
989
7,643 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$2.5k
Sell
$512
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.4k
Buy
$11.0k
Sell
$1.6k
Whales
34
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $4.3k | $4.3k | $9 | $-4.3k |
| 0x0380…073d | $4.3k | $4.2k | $85 | $-4.1k |
| 0x0c18…a04c | $3.8k | $2.2k | $1.7k | $-501 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $1.8k | $1.8k | $46 | $-1.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1186…051b | 187 | $62.7k | $-7.5k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 27 | $53.1k | $-53.0k | 4 |
| 0x34db…1b63 | 652 | $38.8k | $-6.5k | 3 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 158 | $23.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
open · $698.3k
64.0%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
open · $459.1k
36.5%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
open · $602.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
open · $550.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
open · $529.3k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
closed · $868.8k
0.1%
| 0x34db…1b63 | $1.8k | $1.2k | $596 | $-560 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $1.7k | $1.7k | $12 | $-1.7k |
| 0xc8fd…6b3a | $1.5k | $1.5k | $35 | $-1.5k |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $1.2k | $1.1k | $14 | $-1.1k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $1 | $-1.1k |
| 0x0873…09e8 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $13 | $-988 |
| 0x8373…f0bc | $839 | $602 | $237 | $-365 |
| $-19.8k |
| 6 |
| 0x0380…073d | 289 | $22.3k | $-18.6k | 6 |
| 0xd86d…648d | 49 | $18.8k | $-8.9k | 1 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 96 | $14.4k | $-5.4k | 3 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 113 | $14.0k | $-11.4k | 2 |
| 0xf063…7893 | 151 | $13.6k | $-3.4k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 23 | $12.1k | $-12.0k | 2 |
