0x2150a1cd14f1fd0aaf092f74bb38c4adc17c0e876e62b1a24f79f1ab66ad2871
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $5.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.1% · CLOB volume $5.9k · whales 24h net $890 (16 wallets) · 7d net $1.8k · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.1%
Yes
Implied No
97.8%
No
Volume
$5.9k
CLOB
Traders
46
206 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.8% → 1.7% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$890
Buy
$926
Sell
$35
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$1.9k
Sell
$83
Whales
23
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaee8…1154 | $605 | $605 | $0 | $-605 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $480 | $472 | $8 | $-463 |
| 0x0380…073d | $369 | $361 | $7 | $-354 |
| 0x3abe…1446 | $360 | $180 | $180 | $0 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | 55 | $3.3k | $-390 | 1 |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 65 | $2.7k | $1.0k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 66 | $2.4k | $-435 | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 74 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $13.8k
57.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.1k
27.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.1k
11.5%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $5.9k
2.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.2k
0.3%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.3k
0.2%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0x1387…55f8 | $340 | $326 | $13 | $-313 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $310 | $305 | $5 | $-300 |
| 0xae2a…384d | $236 | $231 | $5 | $-226 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $234 | $191 | $43 | $-148 |
| 0xb41e…11fd | $197 | $188 | $8 | $-180 |
| 0xe040…824f | $183 | $102 | $81 | $-22 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $180 | $136 | $44 | $-93 |
| 0x0731…4245 | $164 | $10 | $154 | $144 |
| $-1.6k |
| 6 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 64 | $1.9k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 96 | $1.7k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 30 | $1.6k | $-1.1k | 5 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 101 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 9 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 46 | $1.5k | $-519 | 3 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | 41 | $1.2k | $26 | 3 |