0x808f8504753545401b096f1e53d6a519b83af31bebd8656a1b3c7e0b4aeee73c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 12% YES on Polymarket with $11.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 11.5% · CLOB volume $11.1k · whales 24h net $978 (20 wallets) · 7d net $2.1k · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
11.5%
Yes
Implied No
88.5%
No
Volume
$11.1k
CLOB
Traders
83
358 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.0% → 12.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$978
Buy
$1.2k
Sell
$225
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.1k
Buy
$2.7k
Sell
$661
Whales
34
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf83e…4663 | $814 | $689 | $125 | $-564 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $480 | $422 | $58 | $-363 |
| 0x0380…073d | $441 | $346 | $95 | $-252 |
| 0x2ab0…95fb | $395 | $297 | $98 | $-199 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | 55 | $3.3k | $-390 | 1 |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 65 | $2.7k | $1.0k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 66 | $2.4k | $-435 | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 74 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $13.8k
57.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.1k
27.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.1k
11.5%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $5.9k
2.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.2k
0.3%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.3k
0.2%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | $370 | $365 | $5 | $-360 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | $369 | $176 | $193 | $16 |
| 0xaee8…1154 | $355 | $239 | $115 | $-124 |
| 0x300c…6a92 | $337 | $193 | $144 | $-49 |
| 0xf875…814d | $328 | $210 | $118 | $-92 |
| 0xe8fc…0d3b | $326 | $209 | $117 | $-92 |
| 0xe040…824f | $316 | $219 | $97 | $-122 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $310 | $269 | $42 | $-227 |
| $-1.6k |
| 6 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 64 | $1.9k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 96 | $1.7k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 30 | $1.6k | $-1.1k | 5 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 101 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 9 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 46 | $1.5k | $-519 | 3 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | 41 | $1.2k | $26 | 3 |
