0xfd41d7b90d4a56b0fb46f144a29b9b5dffdfb15bed248edec7b96eaf1c4e0a0c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $3.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.2% · CLOB volume $3.3k · whales 24h net $337 (10 wallets) · 7d net $1.3k · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.2%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$3.3k
CLOB
Traders
40
179 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$337
Buy
$357
Sell
$20
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$51
Whales
18
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | $395 | $394 | $0 | $-394 |
| 0x1b0e…f132 | $360 | $240 | $120 | $-120 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $331 | $331 | $0 | $-331 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $310 | $310 | $0 | $-310 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | 55 | $3.3k | $-390 | 1 |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 65 | $2.7k | $1.0k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 66 | $2.4k | $-435 | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 74 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $13.8k
62.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.1k
27.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.1k
11.0%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $5.9k
2.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.2k
0.3%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.3k
0.2%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $278 | $278 | $0 | $-278 |
| 0x28bf…4a4e | $245 | $245 | $0 | $-244 |
| 0xcf43…b321 | $150 | $150 | $0 | $-150 |
| 0xd0bf…9f9f | $116 | $116 | $0 | $-116 |
| 0x764b…6bad | $110 | $110 | $0 | $-110 |
| 0xc518…2594 | $108 | $108 | $0 | $-108 |
| 0xfd55…f905 | $103 | $103 | $0 | $-103 |
| 0x7dcf…a7bd | $101 | $101 | $0 | $-101 |
| $-1.6k |
| 6 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 64 | $1.9k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 96 | $1.7k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 30 | $1.6k | $-1.1k | 5 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 101 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 9 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 46 | $1.5k | $-519 | 3 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | 41 | $1.2k | $26 | 3 |
