0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94
As of Oct 7, 2026, “NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $1.43M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 9.0% · CLOB volume $1.43M · whales 24h net $6.1k (23 wallets) · 7d net $147.5k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
9.0%
Yes
Implied No
91.0%
No
Volume
$1.43M
CLOB
Traders
1,840
11,536 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
8.0% → 8.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.1k
Buy
$11.9k
Sell
$5.8k
Whales
23
Last 7 days
Net flow
$147.5k
Buy
$278.8k
Sell
$131.3k
Whales
202
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xab19…4876 | $172.9k | $170.1k | $2.8k | $-167.3k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $152.7k | $43.8k | $108.8k | $65.0k |
| 0xe234…304a | $65.5k | $35.4k | $30.1k | $-5.2k |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1 | $62.9k | $31.8k | $31.1k | $-737 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xab19…4876 | 451 | $326.1k | $-256.4k | 3 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 508 | $209.6k | $82.1k | 2 |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | 1,143 | $138.1k | $56.3k | 3 |
| 0xe234…304a | 197 | $132.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.41M
22.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.43M
9.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
closed · $2.12M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.19M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
closed · $630.3k
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
closed · $539.4k
0.0%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $59.0k | $59.0k | $0 | $-59.0k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $53.6k | $30.7k | $22.9k | $-7.8k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $46.8k | $32.2k | $14.7k | $-17.5k |
| 0x36da…907b | $46.1k | $33.1k | $13.0k | $-20.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $40.4k | $28.7k | $11.7k | $-17.0k |
| 0x82da…da33 | $38.8k | $20.7k | $18.1k | $-2.5k |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | $38.4k | $16.4k | $22.0k | $5.6k |
| 0x8dc9…434f | $36.2k | $18.9k | $17.3k | $-1.6k |
| $-29.1k |
| 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 774 | $112.1k | $-112.1k | 3 |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1 | 206 | $91.1k | $-4.8k | 3 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 44 | $72.6k | $-23.8k | 3 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 281 | $71.1k | $-28.1k | 2 |
| 0x11fc…dc48 | 29 | $66.0k | $-8.3k | 1 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | 24 | $53.6k | $-7.8k | 1 |
