0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52
As of Oct 7, 2026, “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” trades at 23% YES on Polymarket with $2.41M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 22.5% · CLOB volume $2.41M · whales 24h net $6.4k (29 wallets) · 7d net $53.9k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
22.5%
Yes
Implied No
77.5%
No
Volume
$2.41M
CLOB
Traders
3,011
22,449 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
22.0% → 22.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.4k
Buy
$13.7k
Sell
$7.3k
Whales
29
Last 7 days
Net flow
$53.9k
Buy
$100.6k
Sell
$46.7k
Whales
151
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xab19…4876 | $89.0k | $78.6k | $10.3k | $-68.3k |
| 0x11fc…dc48 | $66.0k | $37.1k | $28.8k | $-8.3k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $56.9k | $19.9k | $37.0k | $17.1k |
| 0xf519…906b | $51.4k | $30.3k | $21.1k | $-9.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xab19…4876 | 451 | $326.1k | $-256.4k | 3 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 508 | $209.6k | $82.1k | 2 |
| 0x0d7e…cb13 | 1,143 | $138.1k | $56.3k | 3 |
| 0xe234…304a | 197 | $132.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.41M
22.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.43M
9.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
closed · $2.12M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.19M
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
closed · $630.3k
0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
closed · $539.4k
0.0%
| 0x16bb…8492 | $41.9k | $20.8k | $21.1k | $276 |
| 0xe234…304a | $39.3k | $31.9k | $7.4k | $-24.4k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $37.0k | $21.3k | $15.7k | $-5.6k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $37.0k | $37.0k | $0 | $-37.0k |
| 0x748a…3c56 | $36.5k | $26.3k | $10.2k | $-16.1k |
| 0x1761…05ca | $31.9k | $19.8k | $12.1k | $-7.6k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $30.8k | $20.9k | $9.8k | $-11.1k |
| 0xd576…d5e3 | $27.0k | $6.6k | $20.4k | $13.8k |
| $-29.1k |
| 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 774 | $112.1k | $-112.1k | 3 |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1 | 206 | $91.1k | $-4.8k | 3 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 44 | $72.6k | $-23.8k | 3 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 281 | $71.1k | $-28.1k | 2 |
| 0x11fc…dc48 | 29 | $66.0k | $-8.3k | 1 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | 24 | $53.6k | $-7.8k | 1 |
