0x4507940a7651784a3f6041ea2325a24b4d07aa86581acc8973dae6e5c754b1ae
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $4.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.6% · CLOB volume $4.4k · whales 24h net $785 (9 wallets) · 7d net $805 · 18/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.6%
Yes
Implied No
98.5%
No
Volume
$4.4k
CLOB
Traders
34
116 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$785
Buy
$793
Sell
$8
Whales
9
Last 7 days
Net flow
$805
Buy
$813
Sell
$8
Whales
13
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5a21…9318 | $430 | $426 | $4 | $-421 |
| 0x146d…17c7 | $305 | $300 | $5 | $-295 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $205 | $202 | $2 | $-200 |
| 0x2b0f…f799 | $175 | $5 | $170 | $165 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2106…4dea | 32 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 195 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 15 |
| 0x014c…820c | 65 | $6.8k | $1.5k | 5 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | 70 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 18 total · Event board
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $15.7k
38.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $41.4k
19.0%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $22.0k
16.5%
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $23.4k
12.5%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
5.5%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $9.3k
4.1%
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
4.1%
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.4k
1.6%
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
1.3%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.9k
0.9%
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
0.5%
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.2k
0.4%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.7k
0.3%
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.2k
0.1%
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.0k
0.1%
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.7k
0.1%
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.2k
0.1%
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
0.1%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $165 | $165 | $0 | $-165 |
| 0x0380…073d | $164 | $162 | $2 | $-160 |
| 0xe040…824f | $158 | $156 | $2 | $-155 |
| 0xcfff…673d | $143 | $141 | $2 | $-140 |
| 0xae2a…384d | $75 | $74 | $1 | $-74 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $42 | $41 | $1 | $-40 |
| 0xfd55…f905 | $40 | $39 | $1 | $-38 |
| 0xfbed…a665 | $33 | $33 | $0 | $-33 |
| $-771 |
| 3 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 157 | $5.2k | $-3.4k | 7 |
| 0xc684…2228 | 46 | $4.9k | $249 | 2 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 57 | $4.7k | $-3.8k | 13 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 158 | $3.9k | $-3.2k | 18 |
| 0x5f62…4f74 | 44 | $3.2k | $-55 | 4 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 51 | $3.1k | $418 | 2 |
