0x71640c9bcf4ce0442a6d443864660e7dde23e3952387a1234aaf895726b2c755
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 38% YES on Polymarket with $15.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 38.5% · CLOB volume $15.7k · whales 24h net $583 (17 wallets) · 7d net $1.3k · 18/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
38.5%
Yes
Implied No
61.5%
No
Volume
$15.7k
CLOB
Traders
124
614 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
37.0% → 37.6% (+0.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$583
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$681
Whales
17
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$2.3k
Sell
$997
Whales
30
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x014c…820c | $1.3k | $722 | $617 | $-105 |
| 0xdff8…3c8b | $1.3k | $573 | $693 | $120 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | $1.1k | $353 | $778 | $425 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2106…4dea | 32 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 195 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 15 |
| 0x014c…820c | 65 | $6.8k | $1.5k | 5 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | 70 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 18 total · Event board
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $15.7k
38.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $41.4k
19.0%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $22.0k
16.5%
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $23.4k
12.5%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
4.9%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $9.3k
4.2%
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
4.1%
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.4k
1.6%
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
1.3%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.9k
0.9%
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
0.5%
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.2k
0.4%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.7k
0.3%
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.2k
0.1%
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.0k
0.1%
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.7k
0.1%
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.2k
0.1%
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
0.1%
| 0xad53…ef24 | $959 | $959 | $0 | $-959 |
| 0x6837…15e1 | $874 | $211 | $663 | $452 |
| 0xb7d5…0789 | $817 | $378 | $439 | $60 |
| 0x1bc6…0744 | $790 | $473 | $317 | $-156 |
| 0x4041…6f52 | $765 | $491 | $274 | $-216 |
| 0x43c4…c620 | $675 | $353 | $323 | $-30 |
| 0x1d75…78b9 | $649 | $200 | $449 | $249 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $643 | $643 | $0 | $-643 |
| $-771 |
| 3 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 157 | $5.2k | $-3.4k | 7 |
| 0xc684…2228 | 46 | $4.9k | $249 | 2 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 57 | $4.7k | $-3.8k | 13 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 158 | $3.9k | $-3.2k | 18 |
| 0x5f62…4f74 | 44 | $3.2k | $-55 | 4 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 51 | $3.1k | $418 | 2 |
