0xec4ca4a6d1177dd468fdd443d4a928b39a3822ca130fe3824659babed468fcfb
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 6% YES on Polymarket with $6.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $6.5k · whales 24h net $564 (15 wallets) · 7d net $2.0k · 18/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.5%
Yes
Implied No
94.5%
No
Volume
$6.5k
CLOB
Traders
57
205 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.3% → 3.2% (+1.9pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$564
Buy
$671
Sell
$107
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$2.1k
Sell
$107
Whales
21
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21a4…d720 | $1.3k | $27 | $1.3k | $1.2k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x38d6…d10a | $655 | $22 | $633 | $611 |
| 0x9186…9220 | $500 | $500 | $0 | $-500 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2106…4dea | 32 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 195 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 15 |
| 0x014c…820c | 65 | $6.8k | $1.5k | 5 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | 70 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 18 total · Event board
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $15.7k
38.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $41.4k
19.0%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $22.0k
16.5%
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $23.4k
12.5%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
5.5%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $9.3k
4.2%
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
4.1%
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.4k
1.6%
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
1.3%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.9k
0.9%
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
0.5%
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.2k
0.4%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.7k
0.3%
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.2k
0.1%
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.0k
0.1%
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.7k
0.1%
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.2k
0.1%
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
0.1%
| 0x5a21…9318 | $429 | $424 | $5 | $-419 |
| 0xbea0…e19d | $248 | $125 | $123 | $-2 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $205 | $203 | $2 | $-201 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $189 | $189 | $0 | $-189 |
| 0xcfff…673d | $155 | $154 | $1 | $-153 |
| 0x7474…cef7 | $142 | $142 | $0 | $-141 |
| 0xae2a…384d | $135 | $133 | $2 | $-131 |
| 0xa6ef…6b1a | $121 | $2 | $119 | $117 |
| $-771 |
| 3 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 157 | $5.2k | $-3.4k | 7 |
| 0xc684…2228 | 46 | $4.9k | $249 | 2 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 57 | $4.7k | $-3.8k | 13 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 158 | $3.9k | $-3.2k | 18 |
| 0x5f62…4f74 | 44 | $3.2k | $-55 | 4 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 51 | $3.1k | $418 | 2 |
