0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 75% YES on Polymarket with $752.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 74.5% · CLOB volume $752.7k · whales 24h net $5.7k (30 wallets) · 7d net $87.1k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
74.5%
Yes
Implied No
25.5%
No
Volume
$752.7k
CLOB
Traders
555
5,373 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
74.0% → 75.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$9.0k
Sell
$3.3k
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$87.1k
Buy
$169.7k
Sell
$82.7k
Whales
139
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | $341.6k | $196.8k | $144.8k | $-52.0k |
| 0x996a…e3cc | $93.7k | $72.2k | $21.4k | $-50.8k |
| 0x368c…9f72 | $52.1k | $52.1k | $0 | $-52.1k |
| 0x65d1…0e74 | $47.6k | $26.1k | $21.5k | $-4.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 547 | $341.6k | $-52.0k | 1 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 443 | $168.9k | $1.1k | 2 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 724 | $140.6k | $8.5k | 5 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 335 | $122.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $752.7k
74.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $610.5k
23.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $403.1k
2.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $558.2k
1.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $447.6k
0.4%
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $47.1k | $47.1k | $0 | $-47.1k |
| 0x212f…7fd2 | $31.3k | $18.5k | $12.7k | $-5.8k |
| 0x264c…baca | $30.0k | $18.6k | $11.4k | $-7.2k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $29.1k | $18.0k | $11.1k | $-6.9k |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | $22.7k | $22.6k | $96 | $-22.5k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $20.5k | $15.4k | $5.2k | $-10.2k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $20.5k | $15.9k | $4.6k | $-11.3k |
| 0x4df3…788f | $18.4k | $7.6k | $10.9k | $3.3k |
| $-89.2k |
| 5 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 603 | $115.3k | $-114.9k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 627 | $107.8k | $-62.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 729 | $105.4k | $-67.0k | 5 |
| 0x996a…e3cc | 87 | $93.7k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 370 | $83.4k | $-83.4k | 2 |
| 0x1199…d5f9 | 307 | $77.2k | $4.4k | 1 |
