0xf17ad24eb4ad57926495b114149c765b9b95bc286eadc91cbbfa901ceb10d0b8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $558.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $558.2k · whales 24h net $4.2k (27 wallets) · 7d net $49.8k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.0%
No
Volume
$558.2k
CLOB
Traders
464
6,370 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.0% → 1.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.2k
Buy
$11.5k
Sell
$7.3k
Whales
27
Last 7 days
Net flow
$49.8k
Buy
$142.1k
Sell
$92.3k
Whales
98
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1199…d5f9 | $77.2k | $36.4k | $40.8k | $4.4k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $68.5k | $32.0k | $36.5k | $4.4k |
| 0x82d9…eaf8 | $67.4k | $1.4k | $66.0k | $64.5k |
| 0xd0bf…9f9f | $38.7k | $33.8k | $4.9k | $-28.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 547 | $341.6k | $-52.0k | 1 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 443 | $168.9k | $1.1k | 2 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 724 | $140.6k | $8.5k | 5 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 335 | $122.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $752.7k
74.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $610.7k
23.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $403.1k
2.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $558.2k
1.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $447.6k
0.4%
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $26.8k | $25.1k | $1.8k | $-23.3k |
| 0x0380…073d | $25.9k | $22.4k | $3.5k | $-18.9k |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | $23.9k | $19.9k | $4.0k | $-15.9k |
| 0xa8c6…44e8 | $20.3k | $20.3k | $0 | $-20.3k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $17.2k | $16.7k | $464 | $-16.3k |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $16.6k | $15.0k | $1.6k | $-13.4k |
| 0xb416…dd7b | $16.4k | $14.9k | $1.5k | $-13.3k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $16.3k | $15.4k | $954 | $-14.4k |
| $-89.2k |
| 5 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 603 | $115.3k | $-114.9k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 627 | $107.8k | $-62.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 729 | $105.4k | $-67.0k | 5 |
| 0x996a…e3cc | 87 | $93.7k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 370 | $83.4k | $-83.4k | 2 |
| 0x1199…d5f9 | 307 | $77.2k | $4.4k | 1 |
