0xa5f8a44504de30fa36fff2406b2b27b3d15476ed50448e4fc3ead4861d8a5e3e
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $403.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.9% · CLOB volume $403.1k · whales 24h net $2.9k (35 wallets) · 7d net $18.5k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.9%
Yes
Implied No
97.0%
No
Volume
$403.1k
CLOB
Traders
247
3,828 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.9% → 2.9% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.9k
Buy
$33.0k
Sell
$30.0k
Whales
35
Last 7 days
Net flow
$18.5k
Buy
$63.9k
Sell
$45.4k
Whales
82
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8735…46e5 | $41.1k | $1.2k | $39.9k | $38.7k |
| 0xc8cd…7405 | $30.8k | $635 | $30.2k | $29.5k |
| 0xa2fa…2ef9 | $28.5k | $18.0k | $10.5k | $-7.4k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $27.2k | $25.0k | $2.2k | $-22.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | 547 | $341.6k | $-52.0k | 1 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 443 | $168.9k | $1.1k | 2 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 724 | $140.6k | $8.5k | 5 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 335 | $122.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $752.7k
74.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $610.5k
23.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $403.1k
2.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $558.2k
1.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
open · $447.6k
0.4%
| 0x0380…073d | $21.7k | $20.4k | $1.3k | $-19.2k |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $15.6k | $15.0k | $550 | $-14.5k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $15.5k | $15.2k | $366 | $-14.8k |
| 0xeb95…d07e | $14.0k | $7.0k | $7.0k | $-23 |
| 0x1914…aa59 | $13.5k | $338 | $13.2k | $12.9k |
| 0xa8c6…44e8 | $13.2k | $13.2k | $0 | $-13.2k |
| 0x052f…53fb | $12.7k | $12.7k | $0 | $-12.7k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $12.7k | $12.7k | $0 | $-12.7k |
| $-89.2k |
| 5 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 603 | $115.3k | $-114.9k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 627 | $107.8k | $-62.7k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 729 | $105.4k | $-67.0k | 5 |
| 0x996a…e3cc | 87 | $93.7k | $-50.8k | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 370 | $83.4k | $-83.4k | 2 |
| 0x1199…d5f9 | 307 | $77.2k | $4.4k | 1 |
