0xcb0435359047119a7c21536b540a98362a079cabb684746939faf9df9ab4774f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?” trades at 99% YES on Polymarket with $82.2k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 98.7% · CLOB volume $82.2k · whales 24h net $412 (7 wallets) · 7d net $1.2k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
98.7%
Yes
Implied No
1.3%
No
Volume
$82.2k
CLOB
Traders
551
2,111 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$412
Buy
$534
Sell
$122
Whales
7
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.2k
Buy
$1.6k
Sell
$447
Whales
35
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1c4f…2852 | $5.8k | $5.7k | $165 | $-5.5k |
| 0x224b…b294 | $5.4k | $5.3k | $107 | $-5.2k |
| 0xf9f4…2fe3 | $4.0k | $127 | $3.8k | $3.7k |
| 0x3491…bb86 | $3.6k | $1.7k | $1.9k | $110 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.7%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
77.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $712.1k
64.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.6k
29.1%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.6%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
5.5%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.2%
| 0x95b1…4565 | $2.6k | $72 | $2.5k | $2.5k |
| 0x4543…93e2 | $2.0k | $1.0k | $981 | $-53 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $1.8k | $1.8k | $0 | $-1.8k |
| 0x6f6b…1ab6 | $1.6k | $1.6k | $0 | $-1.6k |
| 0x5b39…d37f | $1.5k | $267 | $1.2k | $963 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.5k | $956 | $506 | $-450 |
| 0x6606…1338 | $1.4k | $1.4k | $0 | $-1.4k |
| 0x032e…2a9e | $1.2k | $370 | $879 | $509 |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 85 | $64.8k | $-23.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
