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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Active 86 days left

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0xe0d9f508a249e0070db06eb7d1e1fb17eb23c963f6fb722c4c3f81e23240c1cd

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $3.38M total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $3.38M · whales 24h net $5.7k (9 wallets) · 7d net $17.2k · 6/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.9%

Yes

Implied No

99.2%

Volume

$3.38M

CLOB

Traders

4,515

50,097 trades

Yes 0.9%No 99.2%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.9% → 0.7% (-0.2pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$5.7k

Buy

$7.2k

Sell

$1.6k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$17.2k

Buy

$45.2k

Sell

$28.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($5.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($17.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.9% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 23:31:29

14285.7¢$55

—BUY2026-10-07 23:31:29

0.7¢$0

—BUY2026-10-07 18:04:55

0.9¢$10

NOBUY2026-10-07 18:04:55

99.1¢$1.1k

NOBUY2026-10-07 17:56:43

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x40f7…e8cd	$62.1k	$31.0k	$31.1k	$67
0xbd41…a6de	$49.2k	$49.2k	$0	$-49.2k
0x8e91…3335	$42.9k	$40.0k	$2.9k	$-37.2k
0xe907…cff6	$39.7k	$19.2k	$20.5k	$1.3k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb5a0…60c3	131	$362.2k	$361.1k	5
0xc21e…0215	4,055	$297.7k	$-297.7k	8
0x33e6…89dc	114	$225.8k	$-156.7k	2
0x40f7…e8cd	217	$190.0k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

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